Predicting Candidate Responses in Presidential Debates
نویسندگان
چکیده
In this paper we tried to predict what a candidate in a political debate (namely George W. Bush) is going to say, based on what the moderator and the other candidate just said. In order to achieve that, we first used PCA to reduce the dimensionality of the problem, and then applied several regression models in order to do the actual predictions. While the PCA turned up some interesting patterns, the best test error (in a complex enough model) we achieved was about 70%.
منابع مشابه
Critical Discourse Analysis of Hedges and Boosters in Iranian TV Election Debates of Presidential Candidates
To win the attention of the audience, presidential candidates rely on their own rhetorical methods. Hedges and boosters as metadiscourse markers have been the focus of many studies as the communicative strategies enabling speakers to soften the force of utterances or moderate their assertive force. TV news was used as the corpus of this study, whereas most of the previous studies have focused o...
متن کاملAn Investigation of the Online Farsi Translation of Metadiscourse Markers in American Presidential Debates
The term metadiscourse rarely appears in translation studies despite the continuously growing body of research on discourse markers in different genres and through various perspectives. Translation as a product that needs to observe such markers for their communicative power and contribution to the overall coherence of a text within a context has not been satisfactorily studied. Motivated by su...
متن کاملWho Had the Upper Hand? Ranking Participants of Interactions Based on Their Relative Power
In this paper, we present an automatic system to rank participants of an interaction in terms of their relative power. We find several linguistic and structural features to be effective in predicting these rankings. We conduct our study in the domain of political debates, specifically the 2012 Republican presidential primary debates. Our dataset includes textual transcripts of 20 debates with 4...
متن کاملThe Media Makes the Winner: A Field Experiment on Presidential Debates
To evaluate how perceptions of presidential debates are structured by the media, we describe a three-wave field experiment in which subjects were incentivized to watch portions of a presidential debate and post-debate television coverage. We find that post-debate coverage has strong effects on candidate evaluations, with subjects’ perceptions moving in the direction of the ideological slant of ...
متن کاملEvery calling is great when greatly pursued.
This year, every political pundit is focused on the U.S. Presidential campaign, namely the incumbent Republican team vs. the Democratic ticket (yet to be named), and the recently announced Independent candidate. The incumbent, as well as each prospective candidate, is on the stump, raising campaign funds, spouting rhetoric from podiums in universities, town squares, and televised debates, and a...
متن کامل